Launch of Pivot Bets

What is Pivot Bets?

I've launched my new site, Pivot Bets! It's built off the ProphetML model developed here at EM Analytics. Originally, the predictions were hosted on EM Odds; however, this site has been deprecated. Pivot Bets is not just a replacement to EM Odds, it's an upgrade. Here's a bit more in-depth explanation:

ProphetML Engine:

• Version 3 of the ProphetML Engine has been created - it's a ground-up rebuild to be more lightweight and dynamic, along with providing insights

• It's a stacked model comprising of Bayesian inference and Monte Carlo integration

• Expanded to College Football and Men's College Basketball

• Comprises of 4 leagues (big two and their college counterparts): NFL, NBA, CFB, and MBB

Pivot Bets (formerly EM Odds):

• Hosts predictions from the ProphetML v3 engine

• Utilizes Streamlit to host a web app (visit here)

• Provides insights into why the predicted winner will win, and how the match should perform

Future Additions:

• Adding MLB and Men's College Baseball

• Possible expansion to WNBA, Women's College Basketball, soccer leagues

• A self-hosted app

ProphetML Version 4:

I've pondered building on ProphetML v3 into either v3.1 or v4. Essentially, this would mean building upon the framework of v3. I like where ProphetML currently is, but I think it could be better. What I mean by that is that v3 is inspired by v1 and v2, with the stacking element and simulation element. However, v3 doesn't use a GBM or GAM model like v1 or v2. I think remodeling v3 to incorporate a GAM model for more precise score predictions and further accurate predictions with a GBM (or similar prediction-based model) would be a good next step.